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Global economic growth 'robust,' inflation risks remain: Trichet AFP

Mon, 07 Jan 2008 03:37 PM
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Global economic growth 'robust,' inflation risks remain: Trichet
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Global economic growth is "robust" but inflation risks remain as markets absorb the impact of the US subprime home loan crisis and higher food prices, European Central Bank chief Jean-Claude Trichet said Monday.

"Food is a very big problem" stoking inflationary pressures, along with higher energy costs, stock market corrections and the risks of protectionist trade policies, Trichet said in his role as spokesman for the G10 group of central bankers meeting here.

He also said that "we have to look very carefully at the business model of banks" in the wake of the billions of dollars in losses incurred by some of the world's leading financial institutions due to their exposure to the US high-risk mortgage sector.

Switzerland's UBS, one of the most prestigious names in Swiss and European banking, last month announced a record write-off of about 10 billion dollars (6.8 billion euros) linked to its subprime exposure.

In Britain, mortgage lender Northern Rock suffered the first run on a bank in more than a century due to its subprime exposure, after it was forced to apply to the Bank of England for emergency funding in September.

Despite the downside risks, "at the global level we see confirmation that growth is continuing at a pace that is quite robust," Trichet said.

The ECB head added that coordinated actions by central banks such as his own, the US Federal Reserve, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England to inject much-needed liquidity into the financial markets had been "efficient."

"We have seen that the measures that have been taken by central banks proved efficient, we are reassured that the year-end has passed relatively smoothly," Trichet said.

His comments came as a European Union survey showed that confidence in the European economy fell in December to the lowest level in nearly two years but not by as much as economists had expected.

The European Commission's eurozone economic sentiment indicator slipped in December to 104.7 points in the single currency bloc -- the lowest level since March 2006 -- from 104.8 points from November.

But the decline was not as sharp as the 104.0 points economists had forecast, as polled by Thomson Financial News.

Trichet stressed that the booming economies of developing nations such as China and India have proved thus far resilient in the face of the US subprime crisis.

"The emerging world is not touched," he said.

"Emerging markets have very impressive dynamics. There is no evidence that there is significant influence from the market correction which has been observed in the industrial world," Trichet said.


Copyright 2008, by AFP . All rights reserved


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